2025 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

Bracketology is both the art and the science of looking at the resumes of 70+ teams and deciding which teams should be “in” and “out” of the field, not based on what I think, but based on the historical trends of the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee. Predicting what the Committee will do is often a difficult venture but that’s the fun and the challenge. I’ll be updating my bracket projection at least twice a week from here until Selection Sunday.

Here is my latest bracket projection of the 2024-2025 College Basketball Season. Once again, I will be taking part in The Bracket Matrix‘s annual bracket competition where I am ranked 104th in the nation.

Projected Seed List

Bracket Date: FINAL

Current conference leaders or highest remaining seeds in conference tournaments are projected as auto-bids and are listed in bold. Conference tournament champions/auto-bids are listed in bold red. The last 4 in teams that play in the “First Four” play-in games are listed in italics.

1 seeds: Auburn, Duke, Houston, Florida
2 seeds:
Tennessee, Alabama Michigan State, St. John’s
3 seeds:
Kentucky, Texas Tech, Iowa St, Wisconsin
4 seeds: Texas A&M, Michigan, Maryland, Oregon
5 seeds:
 Clemson, Arizona, Purdue, Ole Miss
6 seeds:
 UCLA, BYU, Louisville, St Mary’s
7 seeds:
Missouri, Memphis, Kansas, Gonzaga
8 seeds:
UConn, Illinois, Marquette, Mississippi State
9 seeds: 
Creighton, New Mexico, Drake, Georgia
10 seeds:
 Oklahoma, Utah St, Arkansas, Vanderbilt
11 seeds:
West Virginia, Baylor, San Diego St, VCU, Indiana, North Carolina
12 seeds: Colorado St, UC San Diego, Liberty, McNeese
13 seeds: Yale, High Point, Akron, Grand Canyon
14 seeds:
Lipscomb, Montana, Troy, UNCW
15 seeds: Robert Morris, Wofford, Norfolk State, Omaha
16 seeds: Bryant, Mount St Mary’s, SIUE, American, Alabama St, St Francis

The Bubble

Last 4 Byes: Utah St, Arkansas, Vanderbilt, West Virginia

Last 4 IN: Baylor, (VCU), Indiana, San Diego St, North Carolina

First 3 OUT: Xavier, Texas, Boise St

Next 4 OUT: Wake Forest, Ohio St, Cincinnati, Dayton