Home 2024 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

2024 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

by Ian

Bracketology is both the art and the science of looking at the resumes of 70+ teams and deciding which teams should be “in” and “out” of the field, not based on what I think, but based on the historical trends of the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee. Predicting what the Committee will do is often a difficult venture but that’s the fun and the challenge. I’ll be updating my bracket projection at least once a week from here until Selection Sunday and including some analytical posts delving deeper into the science of Bracketology.

For starters, check out the Bracketology 101 post to give some baseline for how the Committee develops the bracket.

Here is my latest bracket projection of the 2023-2024 College Basketball Season. Once again, I will be taking part in The Bracket Matrix‘s annual bracket competition where I am ranked 104th in the nation.

Projected Seed List

Bracket Date: 2/19

Highest remaining seeds in conference tournaments are projected as auto-bids and are listed in bold. The last 4 in teams that play in the “First Four” play-in games are listed in italics.

1 seeds: UConn, Purdue Houston, Arizona
2 seeds: North Carolina, 
Tennessee, Marquette, Kansas
3 seeds:
Alabama, Baylor, Iowa St, Duke
4 seeds:
Auburn, San Diego St, Illinois, Creighton
5 seeds:
Wisconsin, Dayton, Clemson, Kentucky
6 seeds:
Texas Tech, BYU, Florida, Michigan St
7 seeds:
St Mary’s, Colorado St, Utah St, South Carolina
8 seeds: 
Virginia, FAU, Washington St, Boise St
9 seeds: 
TCU, Northwestern, Texas, Oklahoma
10 seeds: 
New Mexico, Nebraska, Mississippi St, Indiana St
11 seeds:
Nevada, Butler, UtahGrand Canyon, Drake
12 seeds: Texas A&M, GonzagaSamford, McNeese, South Florida
13 seeds: Appalachian St, Cornell, UC Irvine, Akron
14 seeds: Charleston, Louisiana Tech, Vermont, Oakland
15 seeds: Eastern Washington, High Point, Morehead St, Colgate
16 seeds: Ouinnipiac, Southern, Norfolk St, Merrimack, North Dakota, Eastern Kentucky

The Bubble

Last 4 Byes: Nebraska, Mississippi St, Indiana St, Nevada

Last 4 IN: Butler, Utah, (Grand Canyon), (Drake), Texas A&M, Gonzaga

First 4 OUT: Seton Hall, Ole Miss, Cincinnati, Providence

Next 4 OUT: Pitt, Wake Forest, Oregon, NC State

Others Considered: Colorado, Memphis, Richmond, Princeton, James Madison, Kansas St, Miami (FL), Ohio St, Virginia Tech, Villanova, Iowa, Minnesota, SMU, VCU, Bradley, St Bonaventure, San Francisco, St John’s, Xavier, UCF, Maryland, Washington