Home 2021 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

2021 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

Bracketology is both the art and the science of looking at the resumes of 70+ teams and deciding which teams should be “in” and “out” of the field, not based on what I think, but based on the historical trends of the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee. Predicting what the Committee will do is often a difficult venture but that’s the fun and the challenge. I’ll be updating my bracket projection at least once a week from here until Selection Sunday and including some analytical posts delving deeper into the science of Bracketology.

For starters, check out the Bracketology 101 post to give some baseline for how the Committee develops the bracket.

Here is my latest bracket projection of the 2019-2020 College Basketball Season. Once again, I will be taking part in The Bracket Matrix‘s annual bracket competition where I am ranked in the Top 75 in the nation.

Given the crazy world of COVID we currently live in, this year’s NCAA Tournament will operate a bit differently than in years past. All of the games will essentially be hosted in and around Indianapolis. Therefore, there won’t be East/South/Midwest/West Regions as there have been in years past and teams should get bracketed much closer to their “true” seed position. With these changes, I am just presenting the teams in an overall seed list this season and not bracketing them out into regions or pods.

Projected Seed List

Bracket Date: 2/22/2021

Current conference leaders listed in bold

1 seeds: Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan, Ohio St
2 seeds:
Illinois, Alabama, Villanova, Florida St
3 seeds:
Houston, Virginia, Oklahoma, West Virginia
4 seeds:
Iowa, Missouri, Kansas, Tennessee
5 seeds:
 Texas, Texas Tech, Wisconsin, USC
6 seeds:
Virginia Tech, Clemson, Purdue, Creighton
7 seeds:
BYU, Arkansas, Oklahoma St, LSU
8 seeds:
Florida, Colorado, Maryland, Rutgers
9 seeds:
North Carolina, Oregon, Boise St, Loyola (Chicago)
10 seeds: 
Seton Hall, Wichita St, UCLA, Drake
11 seeds: St. Bonaventure
, Western Kentucky, Xavier, San Diego St
12 seeds:
Indiana, Louisville, VCU, Stanford, Minnesota, Winthrop
13 seeds: Colgate, Belmont, UC Santa Barbara, Toledo
14 seeds: UNC-G, Liberty, Wright St, Abilene Christian
15 seeds: Eastern Washington, Siena, James Madison, Texas St
16 seeds: UMBC, South Dakota, Prairie View A&M, Wagner, UTRGV, North Carolina A&T

Bubble Breakdown

(Projected conference champions shown in parentheses)

Last 4 Byes: Drake, (St Bonaventure), (Western Kentucky), Xavier, San Diego St, Indiana

Last 4 IN: Louisville, VCU, Stanford, Minnesota

First 4 OUT: Duke, St John’s, Ole Miss, Michigan St

Others Considered: Richmond, Colorado St, UConn, Utah St, St Louis,  Georgia Tech, SMU, Syracuse, Memphis, St. Mary’s, Marshall