Home 2018 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

2018 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

One of the new offerings here at Steel City Blitz this year will be NCAA Tournament Bracketology. Bracketology is both an art and a science – it’s the ability to look at the resumes of 70+ teams and decide which teams should be “in” and “out” of the field, not based on what I think, but based on the historical trends of the Selection Committee. Predicting what the Committee will do is often a difficult venture but that’s the fun and the challenge. I’ll be updating my bracket projection at least once a week from here until Selection Sunday and including some analytical posts delving deeper into the science of Bracketology. For starters, check out the Bracketology 101 post to give some baseline for how the Committee develops the bracket.

Here is my latest bracket projection of the 2017-2018 College Basketball Season. Once again, I will be taking part in The Bracket Matrix‘s annual bracket competition where I am ranked in the Top 50 in the nation.

(Current conference leaders are presumed as conference champions and appear in bold.)

Bracket Date: 2/16
A full breakdown of this bracket is available here.

South Region

1. Virginia vs 16. Savannah St/Arkansas-Pine Bluff
8. Arizona St vs 9. Arkansas

4. Ohio St vs 13. Buffalo
5. Gonzaga vs 12. Loyola-Chicago

3. Texas Tech vs 14. Montana
6. Texas A&M vs 11.Houston

2. Cincinnati vs 15. Bucknell
7. Florida St vs 10.  Seton Hall

East Region

1. Villanova vs 16. UNC Asheville/Nicholls St
8. Miami vs 9. Texas

4. Tennessee vs 13. East Tennessee St
5. West Virginia vs 12. Vermont

3. Michigan St vs 14. South Dakota St
6. Creighton vs 11. Kansas St/UCLA

2. Duke vs 15. Rider
7. Alabama vs 10. Nevada

Midwest Region

1. Xavier vs 16. Penn
8. Michigan vs 9. Virginia Tech

San Diego
4. Oklahoma vs 13. Louisiana-Lafayette
5. Kentucky vs 12. Middle Tennessee St

3. Clemson vs 14. Charleston
6. TCU vs 11. Providence/Washington

2. Purdue vs 15. Northern Kentucky
7. Florida vs 10. NC State

West Region

1. Auburn vs 16. Wagner
8. Butler vs 9. Louisville

San Diego
4. Arizona vs 13. Murray St
5. Rhode Island vs 12. New Mexico St

3. North Carolina vs 14. UC Santa Barbara
6. Wichita St vs 11. Baylor

2. Kansas vs 15. Florida Gulf Coast
7. Missouri vs 10. St. Mary’s

Play-In Games (Tuesday in Dayton)
Kansas St vs UCLA (winner to Wichita)
UNC Asheville vs Nicholls St (winner to Pittsburgh)

Play-In Games (Wednesday in Dayton)
Providence vs Washington (winner to Nashville)
Savannah St vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff (winner to Charlotte)

Conference Breakdown:  ACC – 9, SEC – 8, Big XII – 8, Big East – 6, Big 10 – 4, Pac 12 – 4, American – 3, West Coast – 2

Last 4 Byes: Seton Hall, NC State, Baylor, Houston

Last 4 IN: Providence, Kansas St, Washington, UCLA, (Middle Tennessee)

First 4 OUT: Syracuse, USC, Utah, LSU

Next 4 OUT:  St. Bonaventure, (New Mexico St), Marquette, Mississippi St,  Boise St

Others Considered: Penn St, Oklahoma St, Boston College, Nebraska, Maryland, Georgia, Temple, UCF, Oregon, Notre Dame, Western Kentucky, Iowa St, St. John’s, Colorado, South Carolina

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